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₹50K Cr Bet: Car Makers Eye 7M Unit Capacity by 2029, 6 Points

🚗 Car Makers Gear Up for ₹50,000+ Cr Capacity Boost as GST Cuts Slash Prices


1. GST & Cess Cuts to Drive Car Sales

  • Passenger vehicles (cars + SUVs) are set to become cheaper after GST 2.0 reforms.

  • GST on small SUVs (sub-4m, specified engines) cut from 28% → 18% (no cess) effective Sept 22, 2025.

  • Tax changes + higher tax-free income limit = higher affordability for middle-class buyers.


2. Industry Growth Outlook

  • FY25: Passenger Vehicle (PV) industry volumes at 5.07 million units (domestic + exports).

  • FY26 forecast: Expected 5% growth → 4.5 million units sold, reversing the 2.4% YoY decline in first 5 months of FY26.

  • Demand recovery post-cyclical slowdown (FY25) + GST cuts to fuel the rebound.


3. Capacity Utilisation Status

  • Current installed capacity: 6.4–6.6 million units/year.

  • FY25 utilisation: ~80%.

  • Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) notes overall industry running at ~70% capacity, but leaders warn capacity needs relook if demand surges.


4. Fresh Capacity Additions (₹50,000+ Cr Industry Capex till 2029)

  • Industry-wide pipeline: 1.33 million units additional capacity by 2029.

  • Companies are preparing multi-crore investments to meet new demand:

    • M&M: Adding 240,000 units over next 24–30 months; planning Nu.IQ platform SUVs (from 2027) in the sub-4m segment (controls 60% of PV sales).

    • Hyundai: Expanding capacity from 824,000 → 1.07 million units/year; new plant in Pune to support.

    • Ashok Leyland: Says industry must prepare to advance investments; company itself is secure for next 2 years at current capacity.


5. Demand Catalysts

  • Post-Covid surge followed by FY25 slowdown now being corrected by:

    • GST rate cuts.

    • Higher disposable incomes (due to higher tax-free income slab).

    • SUV boom (especially sub-4m SUVs with lower GST).


6. Strategic Insights for Auto Investors & Industry Watchers

  • M&M & Hyundai leading the capacity race with clear expansion numbers.

  • 80%+ plant utilisation = trigger point for new investments.

  • With GST cuts, PV affordability may jump by 10–15%, boosting demand.

  • Sub-4m SUV space (~60% market share) will be the biggest growth driver.


🔥 Bottom Line: With GST 2.0, India’s carmakers are prepping for a capacity boom worth over ₹50,000 crore, targeting 6.7–7 million annual output by 2029. Investors and suppliers should watch out for M&M’s Nu.IQ SUVs (2027) and Hyundai’s Pune facility as the next big growth triggers.


Perfect! Here’s a company-wise comparison table with current vs planned capacity, plus investment implications. This will make the article even more SEO-rich, easy to read, and attractive for investors & auto enthusiasts.


🚗 India’s Auto Giants Race for Capacity Expansion Post-GST Cuts

📊 Company-Wise Capacity Expansion Plans (FY25–2029)

Company Current Capacity (Units/Year) Utilisation FY25 Planned Addition Future Capacity (Units/Year) Key Highlights
Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) ~1 million (est.) 80%+ 240,000 units in 24–30 months ~1.24 million Launching Nu.IQ SUVs in 2027; tapping sub-4m SUV market (60% share)
Hyundai Motor India 824,000 units ~85% +246,000 units (new Pune plant) 1.07 million Diversifying production beyond Chennai; focusing on SUV demand
Ashok Leyland ~150,000 (CVs, est.) ~70% Capacity stable for 2 years N/A Open to future expansion; calls GST cut a trigger for fresh investments
Industry Total 6.4–6.6 million units ~80% +1.33 million units by 2029 ~7 million units ₹50,000+ Cr estimated industry capex; GST cuts to boost utilisation

🚀 Key Financial & Market Insights

  1. Industry Demand Push

    • FY26 sales projected at 4.5 million units, up 5% YoY.

    • GST cuts + higher tax-free income slab = affordability boost.

  2. Capex Cycle

    • Industry preparing ₹50,000+ crore investments till 2029.

    • Capacity to rise by 20% from 6.6m → ~7m units.

  3. Utilisation Pressure

    • Current utilisation: ~80%, near investment trigger levels.

    • M&M already running north of 80%, Hyundai at 85%.

  4. Segment Focus

    • Sub-4m SUVs: >60% of PV market.

    • GST cut from 28% → 18% (no cess) will make this the fastest growing category.


🔥 Investor Angle:

  • Watch M&M’s 240k capacity bump and Nu.IQ SUV line-up (from 2027).

  • Hyundai’s Pune plant marks one of the biggest foreign auto bets post-GST reform.

  • Suppliers (auto parts, EV components) will see spillover demand from ~1.33m unit expansion.


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